217 REPORTING ECONOMIES · NORTH AMERICA / EUROPE / ASIA / AFRICA / OCEANIA / SOUTH AMERICAOfficial sources. Open methods. Trace every number.
COMMODITY ORIGINS · GROWTH AND DECLINE

Whose output is rising or falling fastest?

Derived report snapshot · 2026-10-04 · Original report

Among the ten largest producers of each commodity, the fastest ten-year growth is hazelnuts in Chile, +20.3% a year, and the sharpest fall is linseed in Canada at −11.6% a year. Growth is a compound annual rate over the last ten years of data.

To keep this to real shifts, only countries with at least 3% of world output today are considered, and each must have had at least 1.5% of the world total ten years earlier, so a country growing from almost nothing is not counted. Imputed figures are excluded. One row per commodity for growth and one for decline, whichever is largest.

Fastest growth

Fastest ten-year growth in national output
CommodityCountryA yearTen years agoLatestWorld share now
HazelnutsChile+20.3%11,500 tonnes (2014)73,274 tonnes (2024)6%
Natural rubberIvory Coast (Côte d'Ivoire)+18.2%316,136 tonnes (2014)1.7 million tonnes (2024)11%
EggsIndonesia+18.1%1.2 million tonnes (2014)6.6 million tonnes (2024)7.4%
LentilsAustralia+18.0%242,100 tonnes (2014)1.3 million tonnes (2024)16%
PistachiosTurkey (Türkiye)+17.0%80,000 tonnes (2014)383,000 tonnes (2024)28%
AvocadosColombia+15.9%288,739 tonnes (2014)1.3 million tonnes (2024)11%
ChickpeasAustralia+15.1%555,400 tonnes (2014)2.3 million tonnes (2024)13%
CashewsTanzania+15.0%130,124 tonnes (2014)528,262 tonnes (2024)12%
GingerIndia+13.5%655,000 tonnes (2014)2.3 million tonnes (2024)48%
ShrimpEcuador+13.4%349,304 tonnes (2014)1.2 million tonnes (2024)10%
CanolaRussia+13.2%1.3 million tonnes (2014)4.6 million tonnes (2024)5.2%
LinseedRussia+12.4%365,088 tonnes (2014)1.2 million tonnes (2024)39%
FishmealIndia+12.2%120,000 tonnes (2014)380,789 tonnes (2024)6.7%
PepperBrazil+11.4%42,339 tonnes (2014)124,925 tonnes (2024)13%
AlmondsTurkey (Türkiye)+10.6%73,230 tonnes (2014)200,000 tonnes (2024)5.1%
CottonBrazil+10.0%1.1 million tonnes (2013)2.9 million tonnes (2023)12%
CocoaEcuador+10.0%156,216 tonnes (2014)403,699 tonnes (2024)7.7%
OatsBrazil+9.7%432,136 tonnes (2014)1.1 million tonnes (2024)4.9%

Sharpest decline

Sharpest ten-year decline in national output
CommodityCountryA yearTen years agoLatestWorld share now
LinseedCanada−11.6%883,300 tonnes (2014)257,974 tonnes (2024)8.6%
SilkChina−10.9%465,913 tonnes (2014)147,000 tonnes (2024)32%
OrangesUnited States−8.6%6.1 million tonnes (2014)2.5 million tonnes (2024)3.7%
Olive oilSpain−7.0%1.8 million tonnes (2013)854,001 tonnes (2023)33%
SorghumMexico−6.0%8.4 million tonnes (2014)4.5 million tonnes (2024)7%
OatsRussia−5.5%5.3 million tonnes (2014)3 million tonnes (2024)13%
PineapplesThailand−5.5%1.9 million tonnes (2014)1.1 million tonnes (2024)3.7%
CanolaGermany−5.3%6.2 million tonnes (2014)3.6 million tonnes (2024)4.1%
BarleyUkraine−5.2%9 million tonnes (2014)5.3 million tonnes (2024)3.7%
CoalUnited States−5.1%814 million tonnes (2015)484 million tonnes (2025)5.3%

FAOSTAT, USGS, Energy Institute and FAO FishStat; latest year against ten years earlier in each source. Crop output swings with weather, so a single year at either end can exaggerate a trend; the yearly series on each commodity page shows the path in between. Official statistics can be revised, and flagged estimates are marked on the commodity pages.

Source snapshot and downloads

Recreated from Commodity Origins' published derived reports under CC BY 4.0. Report figures retain the publisher's definitions, coverage and reporting years. Selection of underlying commodity rows in our commodity explorer is separate and may have different coverage. Source notes above identify the upstream data; no publisher endorsement is implied.

Snapshot retrieved 2026-10-05. New source vintages require review and republication.

More patterns

ConcentrationHow much of each commodity comes from one country?Producer or exporter?Is the biggest producer also the biggest seller abroad?Prices in real termsWhich prices are records once inflation is removed?Linked prices and seasonsWhich prices move together, and which have a season?Reserves and miningWhere are the deposits, and who digs them up?Supply concentrationWhich commodities depend on the fewest suppliers?Land or yield?Did output grow because farmers planted more or farmed better?Supply shocks and pricesWhen world output falls, do prices rise?Category price indicesHow have energy, metals and food prices moved since 1960?Drawdowns and volatilityHow far do prices fall, and do they recover?Stocks and pricesAre prices lower when the world holds more stock?Which prices follow oil?How closely does each commodity track crude oil?How reliable is the data?How much of world output rests on estimates?Net exporters and importersWho is a net seller and who a net buyer?Country leadersWhich countries lead across the most commodities?Export dependencyWhich countries rely on one commodity?Concentration over timeHas production spread out or narrowed?Import dependencyWhich countries buy most of a commodity from one supplier?Supplier shiftsWho gained and lost importers' business?Trade price against benchmarkDoes traded product sell above or below the benchmark price?Prices in other currenciesHow much of a price move is the dollar?Do prices lead each other?Does one commodity price move before another?Volatility over timeAre prices more volatile now than they used to be?SeasonalityWhich prices have a calendar-month pattern?Price ratiosWhat does one commodity buy of another, and is that high or low?El Niño and pricesDo El Niño and La Niña years move commodity prices?Who consumes itWhich countries consume each commodity, and how much per person?Self-sufficiencyWhich large markets depend on imports, and which produce far more than they use?Trade flowsWho sells each commodity to whom?